Browsing FGV EMAp - Escola de Matemática Aplicada by Subject "Teoria bayesiana de decisão estatística"

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    • Full Bayesian analysis of claims reserving uncertainty 

      Peters, Gareth W.; Targino, Rodrigo dos Santos; Wüthrich, Mario V.
      2017-01-05
      We revisit the gamma–gamma Bayesian chain-ladder (BCL) model for claims reserving in non-life insurance. This claims reserving model is usually used in an empirical Bayesian way using plug-in estimates for the variance ...

    • Modelagem probabilística da dinâmica da Zika usando modelos hierárquicos bayesianos 

      Bastos, Marcio Maciel
      2018-03-06
      The Zika virus (ZIKV) is a pathogen of the family Flaviviridae, transmitted in Brazil mainly by the mosquito Aedes aegypti and in less extent by sexual relations. In addition to symptoms common to dengue and chikungunya, ...