Browsing FGV EPGE - Ensaios Econômicos by Subject "Previsão econômica"
Now showing items 1-6 of 6
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Análise de séries de tempo e modelo de formação de expectativas
1973É fato comum na teoria econômica que os indivíduos reagem a valores correntes de variáveis e a seus valores esperados no futuro. Como as expectativas se formam ainda é matéria de debates. É improvável que exista um único ... -
Microfounded forecasting
This paper proposes a Önancial approach to economic forecasting which can be applied to data bases of surveys of forecasts. We model the forecasting decision of an individual from Örst principles (i.e., microfounded) and ... -
Model selection, estimation and forecasting in VAR models with short-run and long-run restrictions
2009-02-05We study the joint determination of the lag length, the dimension of the cointegrating space and the rank of the matrix of short-run parameters of a vector autoregressive (VAR) model using model selection criteria. We ... -
Model selection, estimation and forecasting in VAR models with short-run and long-run restrictions
2011-01-27We study the joint determination of the lag length, the dimension of the cointegrating space and the rank of the matrix of short-run parameters of a vector autoregressive (VAR) model using model selection criteria. We ... -
Model selection, estimation and forecasting in VAR models with short-run and long-run restrictions
2010-03-29We study the joint determination of the lag length, the dimension of the cointegrating space and the rank of the matrix of short-run parameters of a vector autoregressive (VAR) model using model selection criteria. We ...
