The 19th week effect: prospects for flexibilization in six European countries

Abstract

In this Note we examine the situation in six EU countries -Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, Portugal and Spain- just before the beginning of the 19th week, and further validate two proposals -put forward in Flôres (2020)1- for monitoring statistics to be used during the flexibilization period. They refer to the ratios of new daily cases, discussed in section 2, and to simple regressions using recent data on daily deaths, discussed in section 3. All data come from the worldometers.info public site.