Browsing FGV EESP - Textos para Discussão / Working Paper Series by Author "Fernandes, Marcelo"
Now showing items 1-17 of 17
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Anticipatory effects in the FTSE 100 index revisions
Fernandes, Marcelo; Mergulhão, João de Mendonça
2013-12-09This paper examines the price impact of trading due to expected changes in the FTSE 100 index composition. We focus on the latter index because it employs publicly-known objective criteria to determine membership and hence ... -
Conditional alphas and realized betas
Corradi, Valentina; Distaso, Walter; Fernandes, Marcelo
2013-12-06This paper proposes a two-step procedure to back out the conditional alpha of a given stock using high-frequency data. We rst estimate the realized factor loadings of the stocks, and then retrieve their conditional alphas ... -
Os determinantes macroeconômicos da estrutura a termo das expectativas de inflação no Brasil
Thiele, Eduardo; Fernandes, Marcelo
2014-05-05This paper aims to analyze the dynamics of inflation expectations according to macroeconomics conditions. To this end, we extract the expected inflation curve implied by indexed bonds and then estimate a dynamic factor ... -
Disagreement in inflation forecasts and inflation risk premia in Brazil
Doi, Jonas Takayuki; Fernandes, Marcelo; Nunes, Clemens V. de Azevedo
2017The aim of this study is to investigate the link between the inflation risk premia implied by the term structures of nominal and real interest rates in Brazil and disagreements in inflation forecasts. We gauge the former ... -
Disentangling the effect of private and public cash flows on firm value
Scherrer, Cristina Mabel; Fernandes, Marcelo
2017This paper presents a simple model for dual-class stock shares, in which common shareholders receive both public and private cash flows (i.e. dividends and any private benefit of holding voting rights) and preferred ... -
A dynamic Nelson-Siegel model with forward-looking indicators for the yield curve in the US
Vieira, Fausto José Araújo; Chague, Fernando Daniel; Fernandes, Marcelo
2017This paper proposes a Factor-Augmented Dynamic Nelson-Siegel (FADNS) model to predict the yield curve in the US that relies on a large data set of weekly financial and macroeconomic variables. The FADNS model significantly ... -
The finite-sample size of the BDS test for GARCH standardized residuals
Fernandes, Marcelo; Preumont, Pierre-Yves
2014-05-05This paper uses a multivariate response surface methodology to analyze the size distortion of the BDS test when applied to standardized residuals of rst-order GARCH processes. The results show that the asymptotic standard ... -
The government as a large shareholder: impact on corporate governance
Fernandes, Marcelo; Novaes, Walter
2017What is the role that governments play as large shareholders of mixed-owned firms? By solving a bargaining model over investment decisions, we unveil two corporate governance effects of the government's activism as a large ... -
Improving on daily measures of price discovery
Dias, Gustavo Fruet; Fernandes, Marcelo; Scherrer, Cristina Mabel
2017We formulate a continuous-time price discovery model in which the price discovery measure varies (stochastically) at daily frequency. We estimate daily measures of price discovery using a kernel-based OLS estimator instead ... -
Modeling and predicting the CBOE market volatility index
Fernandes, Marcelo; Medeiros, Marcelo C.; Scharth, Marcel
2013-12-09This paper performs a thorough statistical examination of the time-series properties of the daily market volatility index (VIX) from the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE). The motivation lies not only on the widespread ... -
Negociação com informação diferenciada em ADRs da América Latina
Bopp, Eduardo; Fernandes, Marcelo
2014-05-05Usamos uma série de ADRs de países da América Latina para replicar o estudo de Easley, Hvidkjaer e O’Hara (2002) sobre o efeito da negociação com informação diferenciada nos retornos dos ativos financeiros. Estimamos a ... -
Prêmio por controle no mercado brasileiro
Souza, Vitor Frango de; Fernandes, Marcelo
2014-05-05This study aims to estimate the control premium in the Brazilian stock market, based on the dual-class price differential. We first show that the average control premium is positive from July 01, 2003 to June 28, 2013. ... -
Price discovery in dual-class shares across multiple markets
Fernandes, Marcelo; Scherrer, Cristina Mabel
2013-12-09We extend the standard price discovery analysis to estimate the information share of dual-class shares across domestic and foreign markets. By examining both common and preferred shares, we aim to extract information not ... -
Profundidade de mercado na BM&FBovespa
Barros, Carlos Felipe; Fernandes, Marcelo
2014-05-05O objetivo desse trabalho é estimar a medida dinâmica VNET de profundidade de mercado para ações brasileiras a partir de dados de transação. VNET mede a diferença no número de ações compradas e vendidas no intervalo de ... -
A (semi-)parametric functional coefficient autoregressive conditional duration model
Fernandes, Marcelo; Medeiros, Marcelo C.; Veiga, Alvaro
2013-12-09In this paper, we propose a class of ACD-type models that accommodates overdispersion, intermittent dynamics, multiple regimes, and sign and size asymmetries in financial durations. In particular, our functional coefficient ... -
Smoothing quantile regressions
Fernandes, Marcelo; Guerre, Emmanuel; Horta, Eduardo
2017We propose to smooth the entire objective function rather than only the check function in a linear quantile regression context. We derive a uniform Bahadur-Kiefer representation for the resulting convolution-type kernel ... -
Títulos de dívida corporativa de empresas brasileiras: investir em emissões do mercado interno ou externo?
Nunes, Ricardo Machado; Fernandes, Marcelo
2014-05-05The goal of this study is to analyze the yield difference between corporate debt issuance of Brazilian companies in local and foreign markets. From the perspective of the investor, we attempt to answer whether it is better, ...















