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Survey design and forecast accuracy
(2017-08)
Inattention in individual expectations
(2017-01)
This paper investigates the expectations formation process of economic agents about inflation rate. Using the Market Expec-tations System of Central Bank of Brazil, we perceive that agents do not update their forecasts ...
Survey design and forecast accuracy
(EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, 2017)
Applying a microfounded-forecasting approach to predict Brazilian inflation
(EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, 2016)
Microfounded forecasting
(Fundação Getulio Vargas. Escola de Pós-graduação em Economia, 2015-05)
Our focus is on information in expectation surveys that can now be built on thousands (or millions) of respondents on an almost continuous-time basis (big data) and in continuous macroeconomic surveys with a limited number ...
Inattention in individual expectations
(2015-04)
This paper investigates the expectations formation process of economic agents about inflation rate. Using the Market Expectations System of Central Bank of Brazil, we perceive that agents do not update their forecasts every ...
Incentive-driven inattention
(2015)









