https://hdl.handle.net/10438/17852 2021-11-21T10:57:15Z https://hdl.handle.net/10438/30084 Money, elections, and candidates Avelino Filho, George; Fisch, Arthur Thury Vieira This chapter uses candidates’ reports to the Brazilian electoral court to examine the evolution of campaign spending during four elections between 2002 to 2014. Focusing on campaigns for federal representative, we show that campaign spending rose significantly in this period, albeit with significant variation across and within states. Our results suggest that both district magnitude and regional characteristics have limited influence on spending. Similarly, the aggregation of candidates by parties also reveals a complex picture that cannot be explained by the traditional dichotomy of government and opposition. Most importantly, campaign spending has remained concentrated on a few candidates, suggesting that electoral competition in Brazil is less intense than would be expected by observing the raw number of candidates per seat. 2018-01-01T00:00:00Z https://hdl.handle.net/10438/29476 Polarização no eleitorado Avelino, George; Russo, Guilherme; Pimentel, Jairo 2019-01-01T00:00:00Z https://hdl.handle.net/10438/25947 The reverse coattail effect revisited: intra-party linkages and electoral performance in Brazil, 1996-2010 Avelino Filho, George; Biderman, Ciro; Barone, Leonardo Sangali This paper analyzes the reverse coattail effect on Brazilian elections, a term originally coined by Ames (1994). More specifically, it deals with the ability of local party organizations to transfer votes to upper levels party candidates by concentrating on the causal electoral effect of electing a mayor over subsequent statewide proportional elections. To identify the effect of electing a mayor, it employs a regression discontinuity design (RDD) focusing on observations in which the electoral difference between the elected mayor and the runner-up is very tight. The use of a large dataset, covering elections between 1996 and 2010, allows exploring parties’ heterogeneity inThis paper analyzes the reverse coattail effect on Brazilian elections, a term originally coined by Ames (1994). More specifically, it deals with the ability of local party organizations to transfer votes to upper levels party candidates by concentrating on the causal electoral effect of electing a mayor over subsequent statewide proportional elections. To identify the effect of electing a mayor, it employs a regression discontinuity design (RDD) focusing on observations in which the electoral difference between the elected mayor and the runner-up is very tight. The use of a large dataset, covering elections between 1996 and 2010, allows exploring parties’ heterogeneity in both cross-section and temporal analyses. Main results show that the positive effect of electing a mayor on party performance in subsequent proportional election holds for the entire period. Another finding is that Brazilian parties show different capabilities in getting votes from their mayors, pointing that intra-party linkages may vary among parties. Finally, the impact of electing a mayor vary along the years. 2017-01-01T00:00:00Z https://hdl.handle.net/10438/17955 Federalismo fiscal 2015-01-01T00:00:00Z https://hdl.handle.net/10438/17857 Além da ponta do iceberg: transferências voluntárias e a política de distribuição de recursos Avelino Filho, George; Biderman, Ciro; Bueno, Natália Salgado Neste texto, apresentamos características gerais de transferências a prefeitos e a entidades sem fins lucrativos e padrões de alocação desses recursos. Em especial, estamos interessados em analisar e verificar possíveis padrões de alocação que visem a interesses eleitorais e partidários de governantes. Este texto é composto de cinco partes, além da introdução. Primeiramente, faz-se uma breve revisão da literatura sobre transferências federais a governantes subnacionais e a entidades sem fins lucrativos. Em segundo lugar, apresentamos as bases de dados utilizadas para as análises, em especial as vantagens e desvantagens de cada fonte de dados. Em terceiro lugar, apresentamos, em termos gerais, como se compõem as transferências federais. Em quarto lugar, avançamos na discussão sobre a distribuição de recursos a prefeitos e a ESFLs por interesses eleitorais dos governantes. Por fim, delineamos os próximos passos de pesquisa. 2015-01-01T00:00:00Z https://hdl.handle.net/10438/17856 A concentração eleitoral no Brasil, 1994-2014 Avelino Filho, George; Biderman, Ciro; Silva, Glauco Peres da This paper resumes the presentation of the index of electoral concentration suggested by Avelino, Biderman e Silva (2011). It also extends the original scope to include all candidates for federal deputy throughout the country for elections between 1994 and 2014. Results showed in systematic way that successful candidates are less concentrated than unsuccessful ones; a finding that contradicts approaches that assume the predominance of the personal votes in Brazilian proportional elections. 2011-01-01T00:00:00Z