Browsing by Keyword "Recessões"
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Metodologia de previsão de recessões: um estudo econométrico com aplicações de modelos de resposta binária
2017-03-31This paper aims to create an econometric model capable of anticipating recessions in the United States economy, one year in advance, using not only monetary market variables that are already used by economists, but also ...
2020-01-16Identifying whether recessions are caused by domestic or external factors demands methodological rigor on choosing the most appropriate quantitative approach. The synthetic control method has been used to evaluate drivers ...