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Assessing the potential impacts of COVID-19 in Brasil: Mobility, Morbidity and Impact to the Health System

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2020.03.19.20039131.full (1).pdf (16.92Mb)
Date
2020-03
Author
Coelho, Flávio Codeço
Lana, Raquel Martins
Cruz, Oswaldo Gonçalves
Codeço, Claudia Torres
Villela, Daniel
Bastos, Leonardo S.
Pastore y Piontti, Ana
Davis, Jessica T.
Vespignani, Alessandro
Gomes, Marcelo F.C.
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Abstract
The two largest Brazilian cities, Rio de Janeiro and São Paulo, have declared community transmission of COVID-19 on mid March, 2020. In this study we estimated the most vulnerable areas in Brazil for COVID-19, both in terms of risk of introduction and risk of mortality associated with social vulnerability. We explore the most likely routes of spread through the country, from the already exposed cities, according to human mobility statistics. The resulting maps should help authorities in their efforts to prioritize actions and if resource allocation to mitigate the effects of the pandemic.
URI
https://hdl.handle.net/10438/28941
Collections
  • Análise do risco de disseminação do novo Coronavírus (COVID-19) / RP [3]
Knowledge Areas
Ciências sociais
Saúde
Matemática
Subject
Infecções por coronavírus
Infecções por coronavírus - Aspectos sociais - Brasil
Keyword
COVID-19
Morbidade
Mobilidade
Pandemia
Pandemics

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