Microfounded Forecasting / RP
Recent Submissions
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Survey design and forecast accuracy
2017-08 -
Inattention in individual expectations
2017-01This paper investigates the expectations formation process of economic agents about inflation rate. Using the Market Expec-tations System of Central Bank of Brazil, we perceive that agents do not update their forecasts ... -
Incentive-driven inattention
2015 -
Inattention in individual expectations
2015-04This paper investigates the expectations formation process of economic agents about inflation rate. Using the Market Expectations System of Central Bank of Brazil, we perceive that agents do not update their forecasts every ... -
Microfounded forecasting
2015-05Our focus is on information in expectation surveys that can now be built on thousands (or millions) of respondents on an almost continuous-time basis (big data) and in continuous macroeconomic surveys with a limited number ...