Browsing by Keyword "Epidemiology"
Now showing items 1-9 of 9
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Can zika account for the missing babies?
2017-11-29The Zika virus (ZIKV) spread rapidly in Brazil in 2015 and 2016. Rio de Janeiro was among the Brazilian cities which were hit the hardest, with more that a hundred thousand confirmed cases up to the end of 2016. Given the ... -
Culling dogs in scenarios of imperfect control: realistic impact on the prevalence of canine visceral leishmaniasis
2013-08Background: Visceral leishmaniasis belongs to the list of neglected tropical diseases and is considered a public health problem worldwide. Spatial correlation between the occurrence of the disease in humans and high rates ... -
Estimando o fator básico de reprodução da COVID-19
2020-12Este trabalho objetiva estimar o fator básico de reprodução (R0) da COVID-19 em municípios brasileiros com mais de 500 mil habitantes, usando dados da fase exponencial da COVID-19 em cada cidade. Para isso, o trabalho ... -
Fish farming and malaria: a model of mosquito population control
2019-08-16Estudamos dois problemas matemáticos distintos, mas relacionados, alcançando resultados teóricos e aplicados. Estudamos o problema da malária na região do Alto Juruá, no Acre, propondo um sistema de equações diferenciais ... -
Interval observers for SIR epidemic models subject to uncertain seasonality
2017Epidemic models describe the establishment and spread of infectious diseases. Among them, the SIR model is one of the simplest, involving exchanges between three compartments in the population, that represent respectively ... -
A machine learning approach to dengue forecasting: comparing LSTM, Random Forest and Lasso
2018-04-12We used the Infodengue database of incidence and weather time-series, to train predictive models for the weekly number of cases of dengue in 790 cities of Brazil. To overcome a limitation in the length of time-series ... -
Modelos epidemiológicos em redes
2016-08-29A velocidade e a abrangência a nível mundial com que os agentes patogênicos tem se disseminado nos últimos anos tem chamado a atenção para a importância da estrutura da rede social de contato . De fato, a topologia das ... -
Multi-generational SIR modeling: Determination of parameters, epidemiological forecasting and age-dependent vaccination policies
2021We use an age-dependent SIR system of equations to model the evolution of the COVID-19. Parameters that measure the amount of interaction in different locations (home, work, school, other) are approximated from in-sample ...
