Browsing by Author "Coelho, Flávio Codeço"
Now showing items 1-20 of 28
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Analytical surveillance
2019 -
Assessing the potential impacts of COVID-19 in Brasil: Mobility, Morbidity and Impact to the Health System
2020-03The two largest Brazilian cities, Rio de Janeiro and São Paulo, have declared community transmission of COVID-19 on mid March, 2020. In this study we estimated the most vulnerable areas in Brazil for COVID-19, both in terms ... -
A bayesian framework for parameter estimation in dynamical models
2011-05-24Mathematical models in biology are powerful tools for the study and exploration of complex dynamics. Nevertheless, bringing theoretical results to an agreement with experimental observations involves acknowledging a great ... -
Behavioral modulation of infestation by varroa destructor in bee colonies. Implications for colony stability
2016-09-01Colony Collapse Disorder (CCD) has become a global problem for beekeepers and for the crops that depend on bee pollination. While many factors are known to increase the risk of colony collapse, the ectoparasitic mite Varroa ... -
A bitstring approach for implementing agent-based epidemiological models
2017Agent-based Models (ABM) are gaining importance over traditional epidemiological modeling due to advances in computing technology and by the need for detailed epidemiological analysis of emergent diseases. Unfortunately, ... -
Can zika account for the missing babies?
2017-11-29The Zika virus (ZIKV) spread rapidly in Brazil in 2015 and 2016. Rio de Janeiro was among the Brazilian cities which were hit the hardest, with more that a hundred thousand confirmed cases up to the end of 2016. Given the ... -
The consumer litigation industry: chasing dragon kings in lawyer-client networks
2014The community of lawyers and their clients form a scale-free bipartite network that develops naturally as the outcome of the recommendation process through which lawyers form their client base. This process is an example ... -
Developing a framework for modeling and simulating aedes aegypti and dengue fever dynamics
2013Dengue fever is a challenging complex transmissible disease due to its unstable temporal and spatial dynamics. Modeling is a powerful tool to understand disease dynamics and to evaluate costs, benefits and effectiveness ... -
Ensuring successful introduction of Wolbachia in natural populations of Aedes aegypti by means of feedback control
2015-03-19The control of the spread of dengue fever by introduction of the intracellular parasitic bacterium Wolbachia in populations of the vector Aedes aegypti, is presently one of the most promising tools for eliminating dengue, ... -
The epidemic wave of influenza A (H1N1) in Brazil, 2009
2012-07-01This study describes the main features of pandemic influenza A (H1N1) in Brazil during 2009. Brazil is a large country that extends roughly from latitudes 5ºN to 34ºS. Brazil has tropical and sub-tropical climates, a ... -
Estimating the attack ratio of dengue epidemics under time-varying force of infection using aggregated notification data
2015-12-17Quantifying the attack ratio of disease is key to epidemiological inference and public health planning. For multi-serotype pathogens, however, different levels of serotype-specific immunity make it difficult to assess the ... -
Estimativa de risco de espalhamento da COVID-19 no Brasil e avaliação da vulnerabilidade socioeconômica nas microrregiões brasileiras
2020-03Esse relatório atualiza a análise do risco de disseminação da COVID-19 para as microrregiões brasileiras decorrente da presença de transmissão sustentada nos dois maiores centros urbanos, Rio de Janeiro e São Paulo. Faz ... -
Estimativa de risco de espalhamento da COVID-19 no Brasil e o impacto no sistema de saúde e população por microrregião
2020-03Esse relatório analisa o risco de importação de COVID-19 para as microrregiões brasileiras decorrente da presença de transmissão sustentada nos dois maiores centros urbanos, Rio de Janeiro e São Paulo e os efeitos de ... -
A framework for modeling and simulating Aedes aegypti and Dengue fever dynamics
2014Dengue fever represents a great challenge for many countries, and methodologies to prevent and/or control its transmission have been largely discussed by the research community. Modeling is a powerful tool to understand ... -
Global stabilizing feedback law for a problem of biological control of mosquito-borne diseases
2015The control of the spread of dengue fever by introduction of the intracellular parasitic bacterium Wolbachia in populations of the vector Aedes aegypti, is presently one of the most promising tools for eliminating dengue, ... -
Higher incidence of Zika in adult women than adult men in Rio de Janeiro suggests a significant contribution of sexual transmission from men to women
2016-10Objectives: The recent emergence of Zika in Brazil and its association with an increased rate of congenital malformations has raised concerns over its impact on the birth rate in the country. Using data on the incidence ... -
Info Dengue: a nowcasting system for the surveillance of dengue fever transmission
2015This study describes the development of an integrated dengue alert system (Info Dengue), operating initially in the city of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. It is a project developed as a partnership between academia and the municipal ... -
Modelagem de doenças transmissíveis
2012For more than a century, mathematical modeling has been applied to the theoretical understanding and control of infectious diseases. Application of the mechanicist reasoning in biology emerged from positivist philosophy ...
