An Empirical Analysis of the Financing Policies Adopted by Brazilian Public Companies

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Abstract

The Static Tradeoff and Pecking Order models specified in Shyam-Sunder and Myers (1999) were employed to analyze the financing policies adopted by Brazilian public firms. At a first glance, it seems that both models correctly describe the way in which firms in the sample finance their investments, although the Pecking Order model explains a greater percentage of the time series variance in the debt level. But when the power to reject the alternative hypothesis of each of the two models is considered, we conclude that the adopted policy is actually of the pecking order type. The factors that influence the decision to issue debt or equity to finance cash deficits, for the firms in the sample, were also studied with the help of two nonlinear probability models of the “Probit” type. The results show that equity is issued when market conditions are favorable, and not only when there is a substantial risk of default, pointing to a pecking order policy of the “complex” type.

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Long Paper